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Some lottery punters say it is cheaper to bet AAAA, AABB, AAAB than AABC/ABCD Some lottery punters say it is too expensive to bet ABCD than AABC So which months do you bet which combinations?
"Sglottery is not responsible for the outcome for the next draw if you intend to use the winning number. Use it at your own discretion"""
Will sg pools make a series of past true toto winners with real winning tickets in a show on tv to debunk all the myths of phantom winners, and shut all their critics?
What the critics?
Local Law to abide
Every lottery operator had to abide by local and international lottery law.
Accordingly, to the Singapore Pools Website Terms of playing the lottery, not only that each Toto Winning ticket had 180 days’ validity to collect the prize money. No name is required to purchase the lottery tickets.
Keep profile Low
Some lottery punters prefer to keep low to avoid the public eye and even their friends.
They do not like to hao lian in front of their friends/relatives as they do not wish to have unfriendly words or even given unlimited treats.
They do not unnecessary calls from unknown people like financial planners or anyone who wants to manage your money.
Falsely claim that they lost the winning ticket
Not only that the winning ticket posted online would be reported as lost ticket to the police/lottery punters and the person who reported would get trouble if they cannot be proved that they had indeed brought the ticket.
In the past Wanbao or Xinmin (Chinese Evening newspaper), there had been reported cases of people winning the lottery and next, there are peoples being caught for falsely reporting of lost tickets. Even Singapore Big Sweep tickets are no spared in this case in the past for being part of reported lost tickets.
Questions I would like to ask you
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Wondering how those lao uncle study 4D tickets?
Some of you are queuing up to place your bets would have seen uncles or even aunties at the corner where the bet slips are being placed. Wondering what they are doing?
This article will tell you the answers
What are those 4D/Toto tickets actually?
They are just 4D/Toto results that had been drawn recently and Singapore Pools printed them in similar to the bet tickets that you received.
They are printed for lottery punters convenience who do not have access to the Internet or access to smartphone.
Also this is where they know if their bet slips have a winning number so that they could collect their winnings.
How those lao uncle and aunties come out the 4D numbers or Toto numbers?
Conclusion
This is how those lao uncles and aunties collect their results database without thinking about statistics, digit positioning, Summation,
If they want statistics, then they go and buy Tong shu from those incense shops or retail bookshops which provide them the information they are going through the X numbers of years the 4D games are being drawn.
Not all lao uncles and aunties own a smartphone that can go online to check on results. Not able to own 4D/Toto software as well.
They rely on the result slips provided at Singapore Pools Outlet for the information or evening papers that printed those results.
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For a simple illustration, let’s imagine you have a friend named John who’s a casual gambler in some of Singapore’s regular lottery draws. Over the past three years, John has spent up to $75 per week (a reasonable amount for an average salaried employee) on the lotteries, which works up to a total of$10,800 in that time.
Considering that he’s only struck gold a few times, winning $1,000 and $2,000 once each, his total returns from his gambling activities are firmly in the red. Despite that, John still continues to play because he is sure that his luck is bound to change.
With that “motivation” in mind, he schedules his bets like clock-work for fear of missing out on that particular moment where he can really rake in the dough with a huge win. Sadly, the statistics would never be in his favor, thus cementing the need for big annual expenses (in the thousands of dollars, as alluded to previously) in his gambling activities.
Against all odds
I don’t think I’m too far off the mark if I say that the appeal of hitting the grand prize for toto draw (where the top prize can go up to S$10 million) is too great to ignore for most.
Imagine being able to win S$5 million (the top prize for a recent Toto draw during the Chinese New Year period) instantly. Financial freedom suddenly beckons!
But, let’s come back down to earth to take a look at the odds of winning the lottery for both4D and Toto, two of the legalized lottery draws in Singapore that’s run by Singapore Pools.
For 4D, it’s a relatively straight forward calculation. You can bet on four-digit numbers from 0001 to 9999 in the hopes that your selections will be picked as the winning numbers. So, with a total of 10,000 numbers, the odds of winning are 1 in every 10,000.
With Toto, the odds become a lot more complicated as the game requires an individual to select a combination of six different numbers from 1 to 45. The selected-combination then has to match a randomly generated set of six numbers exactly in order to win the grand prize.
You can make a guess on the odds of winning though. Is it 1 in 100,000? How about 1 in 1,000,000? Nope, that’s not even close. The odds of winning the top prize is 1 in 8,145,060, based on the calculation below:
|
Odds of winning Toto = (45 x 44 x 43 x 42 x 41 x 40) / (6 x 5 x 4 x 3 x 2 x 1) |
Logically, this means we have to buy 8.145 million tickets at S$0.50 per stub, which is equivalent to spending S$4.072 million on betting before we can be guaranteed to win the top prize.
On the surface, it might make sense to spend S$4 million to win a $5 million prize. But there’s a catch. You’re likely to not be the sole person to have selected the winning combination and so, the top prize would have to be split equally among the different winners. All of a sudden, a S$5 million prize might dwindle to say, S$1 million or less.
And just to put things into perspective, if someone wishes to only buy 1 ticket to per draw just to “try their luck”, given 2 draws a week, it will take him or her up to 84,844 years (4 million weeks = 1 million months = 84,844 years) on average to make a winning bet!
Lottery Winners blew it all
There’s an old saying that goes “Be careful for what you wish for” and it couldn’t be more apt in the context of winning massive lottery draws.
According to a history of lottery-winners in the USA, many of them who became fabulously wealthy (the prizes were often in the tens of millions or more) only managed to lose it all eventually, sometimes ending up in a worse state than they were prior to the win.
It turns out that a sudden windfall brings with it plenty of unwanted media attention. After shrugging off friends and relatives coming to them for loans, the lottery winners would also go through a honeymoon-stage where most would quit their jobs, buy expensive and fancy new cars, and splurge on pricey houses, all in a short period of time.
In the aftermath of a windfall, many end up losing control of the huge influx of cash. By the time they realize that they require debt to maintain their spending habits, it’s all downhill from there.
Financial knowledge pays you the best return
If you really want to increase your odds of “winning the lottery”, you really ought to not focus on the lottery. Instead, do something boring with your money, like, I don’t know, investing for instance!
While the stock market would never be a sure bet, buying stocks when they are cheap and holding them for the long-term has historically been a good way for investors to achieve good odds of success.
And if you really decide to go the boring route of investing, you can likely achieve 2 things. First, you would be able to save money by cutting down on expenses related to gambling and two, you can utilize those spare savings to take advantage of the extraordinary power of compound interest.
While it may not seem rewarding at the initial stage, compound interest can dramatically increase your wealth as the time period lengthens.
For instance, commercial testing and inspection firm Vicom (SGX: V01) and the conglomerate Jardine Cycle & Carriage (SGX: C07) have achieved compounded annualized returns of 18% and 10% respectively over the past six years.
Over the course of a year or two, those returns – as good as they are – might not be able to move the needle, especially if only small sums of money in relation to the investor’s overall assets have been invested in those two companies.
But compounding really takes over as the year’s progress, and after six years, at that annualized rate of return, Vicom and Jardine C&C have gained a total of 171% and 76% respectively over the past six years. If we assume that both shares can continue that rate of growth over the next 12 months, Vicom and Jardine C&C would have gained a total of 218% and 95% respectively in 2015 as compared to where they were back in 2008.
Foolish Bottom-line
There’s really no question about it: Playing the lottery as a means to strive for financial freedom is a fool’s (lowercase ‘f’) game. Play the lottery for fun if you want, but don’t do it because you think it’s going to help your financial situation. The easiest way to win the lottery is to not play it at all.
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Lottery punters like to strike lottery prizes on every draws that they bet for. In reality, you can’t even strike on every draws. There is good and bad luck period a person had.
Unless you are placing many system or ibet numbers that you see that would give you strike rate every draw but you would not win big money, just winnings either cover your bet amount or even lose it. Instead of striking every draws, lottery punters want to strike Top3 prizes or even 1st prize every draws.
Some of you might think that the 4d and Toto game that is being drawn during the draw results are computerized and thus being rigged. Please note that the machine and ball sets that are being picked to run during the draws are different to show the number being drawn are random. Go down to Singapore Pools at Middle Road or various Live Transmission Outlets and find out why. Or check out the Lottery Draw Process to find out here.
Lottery punters are being categorized into 2 types
Casual - Lottery punters who are interested in winning every draw for the bet amount that they are placed on the bet. This group of punters cannot afford to lose their money.
Serious - Lottery punters who are interested in winning big money within a number of draws. This type of punter is more willing to wait and afford to lose their money on per draw to win big on 1 draw.
Let tell you 3 types on lottery punters mind and you might be some of the lottery punters I mention below (Do not be offended if it might be you)
Lottery Punter 1
Let us use Adam (may not be the real person’s name) as the lottery punter who bet on 4D, Toto, Soccer, Horse Race in Singapore. Finally, after betting for a long time, he realized that betting on 4D and Toto would help him win big without banging his pocket. He even went on to purchase a 4D and Toto software to bet wisely as he only needs one big win on 4D or Toto just to cover cost especially on Direct/ordinary numbers on 4D and on 1 to 4 set of System 7 bet.
It does make a loss not striking the same day but within a time frame.
Lottery Punter 2
Let us use Alex (May is not the real person’s name) to try all sorts of methods just to strike big and change numbers cos he does not like to hold on to other numbers. He posted a list of numbers deriving from a method on 4D forums and with every draw, he will generate another new list of 4D numbers. Even he is able to strike the number, he only strikes on ibet, not system bet or direct numbers.
As for Toto, he went on to wheel a group of 20 numbers and based on the numbers of wheelsets (mean putting 20 Toto numbers into ordinary bet combinations or System 7 combinations by covering all sets). Sometimes the winning 7 Toto numbers are part of the 20 numbers but he did not win any as the wheel sets do not any winning combination.
Very fast Alex had limited cash to continue betting and in the end, had to bet on paper when there is a strike but cannot collect money from Singapore Pools.
Lottery Punter 3
Let us use Bernard (May not be the real person’s name) who had been watching 4d websites and forums for any free 4d number posting and bet every single number that is posted there. He just put a dollar as I bet hoping to win $2,000. In the end the numbers he bet appeared as winning 1st prize number but when he collected the winnings the next day, he only received $83 from the Singapore Pools outlet.
Bernard wanted to strike every draws without making a loss.
Which of the lottery punter are you?
Lottery Punter 1 – Careful bet, wait for the right time to bet big
Lottery Punter 2 – Just want to prove analysis work not winning.
Lottery Punter 3 – Just want to make the minimum effort but in the end receive the minimum amount.
Conclusion of 3 types of Lottery punters
Adam Not able to strike very draws but he is able to win big on the amount of money he bet as he is able to hold the number or increase the bet.
Both Alex and Bernard wanted to strike every draws without making a loss as they cannot afford to lose a single draws.
There is a saying, no pain no gain but in the case of lottery punters, they expect no pain but gain more mindset.
Unless your betting budget is huge or you understand how the game is being played, then you are at least 50% or 60% winning, getting a lottery 4d or toto software or even sign up with and lottery forecasters like Sglottery would give you another 10% to 20%, the rest depends on the machine or ball-set (luck) to produce the outcome.
So would you like to increase your hit rate by another 10% to 20%? So let me tell you a scenario that would help you. Read on
What is Members' Voice at Sglottery.com
Over the years that Platinum & Silver service that had been set up at sglottery.com, Most of the members that I had a 2 type of members - members who had big-budget and members who want to strike big with the minimum basic bet amount and expect a big win.
Platinum - Better choice of numbers
Some members told me that Platinum had more chances to strike because there are more numbers (5 sets of numbers) to bet. Cos they bet at least $200 per draws as compared to $43 a draw for Silver members. The minimum win is at least 1 starter prize win or at least 1 1st Prize to cover the cost of bet for 3 draws.
More members preferred Silver Membership
Cos it is one set of numbers (1 system+1 Direct numbers) and I had bet more money on this set of numbers. And I can bet on other numbers just to cover cost and profit from here.
These 2 groups of subscriptions would improve your current hit rate without increasing your usual bet rather than betting every number you see on 4D forums, websites.
Though I cannot guarantee that you will definitely win big, but you will likely win more than double your present hit rate. You are likely to hit more prizes than you ever hit before compared to playing your own numbers.
Some members @ sglottery.com also take their extra time and extra budget to pick their own numbers using the monthly set given rather than a list of numbers that generated on a per draw basis on other subscription. They had limited time to go through the list of numbers every draw.
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First, if you are using the recent 4D Results, you would not be able to see what Sglottery forecast.
Cos, I am using the Digit position than using the recent results.
Secondly, out of the 4 X 4D Direct number that is on the list, how I know which number had highly possibility to strike.
Thirdly, there is a 5 set direct number that gave numbers based on the different types of amounts for different direct numbers depending on-trend and pattern.
Fourthly, Even I put an amount above the best possible number, it is still the type of machine and type of ball-set used during the draw. If you do not know how the Singapore 4D game is being drawn, here is a writeup on it is being done-
Even there are trends and patterns in recent 4D draws are obvious, the direct number does not even happen immediately sometimes, it takes weeks or months to appear on the same position.
Conclusion
Well, it is depending on individual luck to decide if you can strike big.
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This message is from one of the members who strike 1st Prize last strike on 19 Mar 2017 and recently on 06 May 2017.
What are the reasons why it takes so long to happen again?
Trends and patterns from different machines and ball sets that are being used to draw the Singapore 4D Results.
Members had requested Sglottery to see if he can forecast/predict numbers that can have more regular strike hits that create a change of methods that follow the results rather from 4D commercial software that is the reasons as lottery punters will not be tied to any 4D commercial software. Then lottery punters can learn a trick or two without buying 4D Commercial software or signup for any 4D subscription.
Also this change the way numbers are being predicted and it is no longer Sglottery methods to pick but members' manipulation of owning Sglottery.com.
So what happens when there are winnings at Sglottery.com?
After every time there are 4D strikes at Sglottery.com, the Sglottery Fan page will be flooded with messages.
“ Give me a number to strike,….”
“How to sign up?”
“ I am really poor, Can you give me a number so that I can strike 4D?” and so on.
This normally goes on for a week but the recent strike hit, it went for straight 20 hours for 14 days since 7 May 2017.
Most of the enquiries were ignored except to those who are interested in signing up for a lottery number prediction subscription at Sglottery.com.
==========================================
Since Sglottery is a working professional and in order to keep his mind alert, he had to go for hair wash or go to the temple to clear of the bad aura when he refused to give a free number or free access that the particular lottery punters will curse and swear.
Why does this member expect from betting Singapore 4D number from Sglottery?
More Strike Hit better skills every week can strike Top 3 prizes than striking starter prize or consolation prizes.
This happen to members who join any lottery prediction or forecast services in Singapore.
When the forecaster help the members strike big in the 1st month of their subscription and later members expect every month or every draw, they try to talk to the forecasters to improve the strike hit or maintain the strike hit.
So I will normally tell any members if you want to strike every number, u would have at least $1,000 to bet every draw and must prepare to lose the amount.
Conclusion
Well, even a forecaster is also a human, not God, we also have a good and bad month.
When we try hard to strike the Top3 prize every other draw, we end up disappointed as analyzing, predicting lottery numbers, we are playing with Lady Luck.
Analyzing need time and full concentration on the finding the numbers will give more confidence than basing on luck alone when some of you just say, anyhow bet what numbers, any strike.
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Useless numbers generated from system generated?
System Generated or Quick Pick numbers will have generated useless numbers or tickets. They do not believe in randomness numbers.
They do not like or believe that certain numbers generated by quick pick will open.
Is it personal Luck? OR
Lottery punters self-pick Toto numbers based on the age of family members.
Or generated from breaking paper into 49 pieces and pick from them to generate 7 Toto numbers to bet.
Is it excitement or fulfillment? Or
Self-pick Toto numbers will allow them to follow a logic to pick Toto numbers rather based on luck especially those who prefer to analyze.
They want to beat the odds in playing Toto numbers that the odds are 1:13 Million.
What past Singapore Toto Draws Group 1/Group 2 Winners tell us about Self-Pick Toto numbers?
Based on each Singapore Toto Draws Group 1 and Group 2 winners for the past few years (since the game change from 45 balls to 49 balls in Oct 2014)
As at 31 Mar 2017
|
Count of Day |
Column Labels |
|
|
Row Labels |
2017 |
Grand Total |
|
B - QP System 7 |
44 |
44 |
|
A - QP Ordinary |
37 |
37 |
|
None - No Winner |
18 |
18 |
|
I - Ordinary Entry |
18 |
18 |
|
J - System 7 Entry |
12 |
12 |
As at 31 Dec 2016
|
Count of Day |
Column Labels |
|
|
Row Labels |
2016 |
Grand Total |
|
A - QP Ordinary |
104 |
104 |
|
B - QP System 7 |
91 |
91 |
|
None - No Winner |
67 |
67 |
|
J - System 7 Entry |
60 |
60 |
|
I - Ordinary Entry |
53 |
53 |
|
K - System 8 Entry |
19 |
19 |
|
R - iToto System 12 |
10 |
10 |
|
C - QP System 8 |
10 |
10 |
As at 31 Dec 2015
|
Count of Day |
Column Labels |
|
|
Row Labels |
2015 |
Grand Total |
|
A - QP Ordinary |
127 |
127 |
|
B - QP System 7 |
91 |
91 |
|
None - No Winner |
73 |
73 |
|
J - System 7 Entry |
67 |
67 |
|
I - Ordinary Entry |
61 |
61 |
|
C - QP System 8 |
17 |
17 |
|
K - System 8 Entry |
15 |
15 |
|
L - System 9 Entry |
7 |
7 |
As at 31 Dec 2014
|
Count of Day |
Column Labels |
|
|
Row Labels |
2014 |
Grand Total |
|
A - QP Ordinary |
21 |
21 |
|
None - No Winner |
20 |
20 |
|
B - QP System 7 |
20 |
20 |
|
I - Ordinary Entry |
12 |
12 |
|
J - System 7 Entry |
11 |
11 |
|
K - System 8 Entry |
6 |
6 |
|
C - QP System 8 |
2 |
2 |
|
L - System 9 Entry |
2 |
2 |
|
D - QP System 9 |
1 |
1 |
|
Grand Total |
95 |
95 |
From the above tables between Oct 2014 – 31st Mar 2017, it seems that Quick Pick System 7 bet and Quick Pick Ordinary bet had more winners than self-pick toto numbers.
Reasons – Toto works on randomness in a game of chance. The results of the draw will determine due to the randomness of the machine and ball-set being used during any Toto or Lotto draws.
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Using Software Logic
Software logic mean on certain draw interval, the number had a higher chance of striking 1st Prize or 2nd Prize or 3rd Prize or Starter Prize or Consolation Prize.
Using Past/Recent Draw Results
Past/Recent Draw results cannot give instant judgment as different machines and ball-sets are used during the draws.
Following Top3 prizes in the recent results to determine if any following number can strike top3 prizes is a wild guess and that depends if you understand what are trends and patterns and outcome of the Singapore 4D games.
That will give you more than 120 combinations to bet rather than 1 set to 5 sets.
How do I come with 120 combinations?
ABCD would give you 4 set of 3D (so add 0-9 and it would give you 40 set of 4D numbers)
AABC would give you 3 set of 3D (so add 0-9 and it would give you 30 set of 4D numbers)
and for the rest of the combinations, I leave it to you think how many sets of 4D numbers that would give you.
So, you had Top3 prizes had 3 prizes so you can multiple that by the combination as above?
So, let use the following 4D results Top3 prizes from 01 Mar 2017 – 05 Mar 2017 as an example
For 01 Mar 2017 4D
|
245 |
247 |
275 |
475 |
|
014 |
019 |
049 |
149 |
|
134 |
144 |
344 |
|
Total 3D sets - 11
Total 4D permuations/System sets (0-9) - 110
Total 4D Direct numbers - 228
For 04 Mar 2017 4D
|
047 |
048 |
078 |
478 |
|
224 |
229 |
249 |
|
|
126 |
127 |
167 |
267 |
Total 3D sets - 11
Total 4D permuations/System sets (0-9) - 110
Total 4D Direct numbers - 228
For 05 Mar 2017 4D
|
033 |
037 |
337 |
|
|
568 |
569 |
589 |
689 |
|
177 |
178 |
778 |
|
Total 3D sets - 10
Total 4D permuation/System sets (0-9) - 100
Total 4D Direct numbers - 136
See the table for more information
|
|
1-Mar |
4-Mar |
5-Mar |
|
ABCD |
2 |
2 |
1 |
|
AABC |
1 |
1 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
No fo 3D for 1st prize number |
4 |
4 |
3 |
|
No of 3D for 2nd prize number |
4 |
3 |
4 |
|
No of 3D for 3rd prize number |
3 |
4 |
3 |
|
|
11 |
11 |
10 |
|
Add 0-9 to it |
10 |
10 |
10 |
|
Number of permutations |
110 |
110 |
100 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
No of ABCD Direct numbers |
192 |
192 |
16 |
|
No of AABC Direct Numbers |
36 |
36 |
120 |
|
Total Number of Direct numbers |
228 |
228 |
136 |
You can on bet 1 or a few sets rather than all the combinations/permutations set.
Conclusion
If you do own either the 2 4D Commercial software, learn how to pick the numbers that can strike Top3 prizes from the 2 4D commercial software.
If you do not have the software, you would need on gut feelings or you can depend on a 4D lottery forecaster like Sglottery.com to ask for assistance at a cost.
If not you would not be able to bet for long as you had limited funds.
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You need to cough up at least $300 to $500 or up to $1,000 a draw for every number to strike or make even
Sometimes you do not even get back anything from Singapore Pools.
Read on.
Some of you had signed up other forecasters when they offer you low subscription fees with high strike rate but a lot of numbers to bet.
You had this thought after signing up -
" Got 4D Numbers to be the winning numbers and but cannot feel the money as you do not have the money all the money to bet the numbers.
In simple terms, get winning numbers, dun know how to pick the winning numbers to win lottery money.
Example for what to expect if you want to strike every draw
For the last 6 draws, Sglottery matches each winning number from the 4D Results and comes out with probable 4D sets on a PAPER bet (mean bet on paper only).
Below is an example of a number of sets based on System ABCD (24 permutations) and System AABC (12 permutations) to bet. It is only System bet not a Direct Numbers bet.
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|
1-Feb-17 |
4-Feb-17 |
5-Feb-17 |
8-Feb-17 |
11-Feb-17 |
12-Feb-17 |
|
|
No of Sets |
35 |
36 |
55 |
47 |
71 |
39 |
|
ABCD |
24 |
30 |
42 |
35 |
52 |
30 |
|
AABC |
11 |
6 |
13 |
12 |
19 |
9 |
|
ABCD ($24) |
$576.00 |
$720.00 |
$1,008.00 |
$840.00 |
$1,248.00 |
$720.00 |
|
AABC($12) |
$132.00 |
$72.00 |
$156.00 |
$144.00 |
$228.00 |
$108.00 |
|
Bet Amt |
$708.00 |
$792.00 |
$1,164.00 |
$984.00 |
$1,476.00 |
$828.00 |
|
Win |
$310.00 |
$250.00 |
$120.00 |
$120.00 |
$2,060.00 |
$2,250.00 |
|
P&L |
$(398.00) |
$(542.00) |
$(1,044.00) |
$(864.00) |
$584.00 |
$1,422.00 |
On a average from as low as 35 system sets to as much as 71 4D system sets per draws.
Just for 6 draws, you will have to spend at least $6,000 but there is still a deficit of $842. This is only 6 draws, what about the rest of the month.
That is from Sglottery filtered set of 350 sets that he analyses per month. You can call them monthly numbers.
You asked me "Do Sglottery have any alternative solution if you want to bet within your budget?
The solution is to sign up for any of the services and let Sglottery do the analysis and pick.
Elite Lite – 1 set forecast (for low budget players) or
Elite Full – 5 set forecast (for high budget players)
What this solution can bring?
What this solution cannot bring?
So how to sign up ? You can sign up at any of the options.
5 set Forecast
Want to see all plans before deciding, click here
That is why you shouldn't compare Sglottery with other 4D forecasters in Singapore in the first place.
You can get the lottery numbers from Sglottery.com when you can strike within a certain interval rather than giving a bunch of numbers when you do not know what to pick.
Which one matter, the number can strike every other draw or can bet and to receive winning money?
Also, be contented with how much you can bet and what to expect at 6.30pm.
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What is Toto Poolings?
It means that you are betting Toto depending on the type of Toto bet with an reasonable amount with a group of friends
Just take for an example if you intend to bet handpick or system pick of12 numbers on Toto System 12 that would cost you $962.
Then you had to find 28 friends that would contribute $33 each or 14 friends that would contribute $66 each.
Example the Toto System 12 appear as the winning 7 numbers for Toto numbers, you will strike Group 1.
Depending on the numbers of peoples that contribute, the prize money would be shared among by the numbers of people.
Or even betting 50% of 49 numbers into either ordinary bet or system 7 bet.
You can wheel 25 numbers into set of 6 numbers for ordinary bet or set of 7 numbers.
Conditions set can be either balanced or full system wheel.
This will increase your chances of winning a prize in the annual Hongbao Toto draws or even when the estimated jackpot is at least $4,000,000.
The odds of Winning Group 1 Toto is at least 13,983,816,
The only disadvantages are that you had to share the prize money if any with your friends.
Or is IToto System 12 when you bet $33 and share with other 28 people if there is a winning number in the group ITOTO system 12.
Any methods would eventually increase your odds of striking Toto but Please Bet within your means.
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Here Are Your Odds Of Winning The Hong Bao Draw For TOTO
Singapore Pools is back with their annual Hong Bao Draw. This year, the draw’s Group 1 (jackpot) prize has shrunk slightly to $12 million from $13.9 million last year. Nonetheless, thousands of Singaporeans will be braving the long queues and possibly, torrential rain, in order to stand a miniscule chance of striking rich.
Before we get too excited about the Hong Bao Draw, let’s first look at our chances of winning, and how much we can realistically expect to get if we do win.
Before we start, we like to remind readers to exercise a Responsible Play mentality and to treat TOTO (or any other form of gambling) as a vice that should only be indulged in occasionally.
TOTO 101 – What Are My Odds Of Winning?
Anyone who bets in TOTO will know that the chances of winning are extremely low. To hit the top prize of $12 million in this year’s Hong Bao Draw, your chances are about 1 in 14,000,000.
To provide a perspective of how poor these odds are, the chances of a person in the U.S. getting strike by lightning is about 1 in 280,000. In other words, a person is about 50 times more likely to get struck by lightning than to win the top prize in TOTO.
Aside from the top prize, there are other winning categories that appear lucrative as well. Assuming that Group 1’s prize pool is $12,000,000. The total prize pool would be about $32,000,000 (12 million / 38%).
Exhibit 1: Price group and winning odds
Source: Singapore Pools
If we were to sum up all the probabilities of winning, the chances of actually winning something in any of the groups is 1.9%.
Exhibit 2: Prize structure and amounts
Source: Singapore Pools, DollarsAndSense
Net Present Value Of A Quick Pick Bet
We will need to make a few assumptions for our analysis in the next part of the article. Here are our assumptions.
(1) The winner buys only one $1 quick pick (2) there is only one winner in each group (3) we ignore the additional 54% of sales that will be added to the pool (4) the prize pool is $32,000,000 and (5) discount rate of 0 – because between now and the Hong Bao draw is only a couple of weeks.
If we multiply the probability of winning by the prize money and sum up the total probable winnings, we will have a present value of $77.16.
Exhibit 3: Present Value Of A $1 Quick Pick
Source: Singapore Pools, DollarsAndSense
After subtracting the $1 used to buy the quick pick, we will have the net present value (NPV) of $76.16.
Hold On…Are My Chances Really That Good?
Before you get too excited over the high NPV that a TOTO ticket buys you, consider the following.
For the Prize Group 1, 2, 3 & 4, prize amount will be split in the event that there are multiple winners for each group. In other words, the NPV of $76.16 is only relevant if there is one winner for each of the top four categories.
At this point, it’s a little tricky to calculate the expected value because there is no way to know for certain how many winners there would be in each category. To help us estimate this, we took the average number of winners for each group from the past 2 Hong Bao Draw.
|
2015 |
2016 |
2-Year Average |
|
|
Group 1 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
|
Group 2 |
14 |
20 |
17 |
|
Group 3 |
699 |
936 |
818 |
|
Group 4 |
1621 |
2542 |
2,082 |
Source: Singapore Pools, DollarsAndSense
Exhibit 4: Expected Value Of A $1 Quick Pick (Based On Estimated Number Of Winners)
Source: Singapore Pools, DollarsAndSense
* Based on estimated number of winners from Hong Bao draw in the last two years
The expected value has significantly reduced to $0.795. If we subtract the $1 used to buy the quick pick, our expected value will now be – $0.205.
Based on a quick observation that we made from past TOTO draws, it’s also worth highlighting that the actual amount won by players during the Hong Bao draw isn’t necessarily higher than the regular TOTO draw.
In fact, for some of the categories, a regular TOTO draw is likely to pay a higher prize amount than the Hong Bao draw based on the fact that less players participate in the regular draw, and hence, the prize pool has lesser winners, compared to the Hong Bao draw.
|
No Of Winners (Hong Bao Draw 2016) |
No Of Winners During Regular Draw (23 Jan 2017) |
|
|
Group 1 Prize |
$14 million |
$5 million |
|
Group 1 Winners |
2 |
1 |
|
Group 2 Winners |
20 |
6 |
|
Group 3 Winners |
936 |
241 |
|
Group 4 Winners |
2,542 |
408 |
Source: Singapore Pools, DollarsAndSense
TOTO Give Us An Illusion Of Increased Wealth
Similar to many other lottery draws such as the Powerball in the U.S, TOTO gives us the illusion of increased wealth due to what appears to be high prize money for the odds given.
Yet, like many other lottery draws around the world, the good odds (as seen in Exhibit 3) only counts if you are the only player in the lottery, or if the prize amount shown is given to each winning player, rather than to be split among all winners.
Ironically, the attractiveness of a bigger prize pool for a lottery draw is also what makes it less enticing. A bigger prize pool tends to attract more players, which in turn increases the odds of more winners, and hence, a smaller payout for each winning player.
On a lighter note, the participation in TOTO betting should be one of leisure and a topic with friends and family during this festive period. However, if you are thinking of getting rich just because of this Hong Bao draw, don’t put too much hope into it as you would for any other regular TOTO draws.
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This question was posted by one of the live chat visitor last night
There are many reasons why you can’t win any prize in toto 4D, below are some of them
For 4D
- You mention that you bet so many direct numbers and sometimes you let go due to insufficient cash to bet.
- You do not know how to use the 4D data on forums or blogs to your advantage.
- You bet all the numbers you see online or offline.
- You expect to strike Top 3 prizes every draw.
- You want to strike every draw.
- You sign up for low 4D paid subscriptions that had a regular high strike rates and in the end stop using them when you do not strike.
For Toto
- There is 14 Million combinations in a 49 balls Toto Games.
- You bet on Quick Pick as you expect to be part of the winning set.
Let use a buffet you went as a scenario
A buffet with so many dishes to select from but you do not know which one is nice. You choose some dishes and some were not to your liking. You skip those and go for the most favorite dishes which you cannot afford to pay them if the dishes are charged separately.
Or a buffet which is cheap but ends up with a hungry face as the quality is not to your expectation.
You go for an expensive buffet but you eat happily although you can afford to go for just a buffet for a month.
How a buffet of dishes related to the 4D Game?
A buffet with so many dishes to select from but you do not know which one is nice. You choose some dishes and some were not to your liking.
- You mention that you bet so many direct numbers and sometimes you let go due to insufficient cash to bet.
- You do not know how to use the 4D data on forums or blogs to your advantage.
- You bet all the numbers you see online or offline.
You skip those and go for the most favorite dishes which you cannot afford to pay.
- You expect to strike Top 3 prizes every draw thus missing the regular prizes range.
You choose some dishes and some were not to your liking. Or a buffet which is cheap but end up with a hungry face as the quality is not to your expectation.
- You bet on Quick Pick as you expect to be part of the winning set.
- You sign up for low 4D paid subscriptions that had a regular high strike rate and in the end stop using them when you do not strike. This is when you do not which one will strike
You want to strike every draw.
- There is no way you can strike every draw. Even if you do strike every draw, there will be a period when you cannot strike. Sglottery Members know about such period when we strike a lot and within months we returned to the lottery operators. It is better to play moderately.
You go for an expensive buffet but you eat happily although you can afford to go for just buffet for a month.
This scenario work in Sglottery.com when you bet System rather on Ibet, the return was not regular but you would expect to see better return rather prize money divide by 24 or 12 in playing IBet.
Even I show how it work here, would you sign up as a member to show it work.
Or you are waiting for free number/free access here.
Conclusion
There are many reasons although I only highlight a few of them as they are the most commonly discussed in 4D forums/blogs.
Many lottery punters who sign up with any forecasters would have experienced any of the above scenarios as no forecasters method could 100% fulfilled their lottery needs. We might have met some of the lottery needs and not meet all of them.
Every lottery 4D/Toto forecasters had their own methods to strike 4D be it Sglottery.com.
My wife had mentioned to me, if every member strike every draw, you would have people signing up without any discounts or offers every week. Or your method might not work for everyone but just for a group of punters that you are looking to attract.
When we win some, we lose some as well. This is a game of chance not investment.
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Introduction
As above.
I see people buying the plate numbers of cars that tio accident, house numbers of houses that burn down, etc.
What is the logic behind this practice?
Why do they believe that the numbers associated with unfortunate incidents can become winning lotto numbers?
I cannot see the link between the two.
It is just coincidence or so Called Luck that link opportunities into luck
What is coincidence?
a remarkable concurrence of events or circumstances without apparent causal connection.
"it was a coincidence that she was wearing a jersey like Laura's"
|
synonyms: |
accident, chance, serendipity, fate, a twist of fate, destiny, fortuity, fortune, providence, freak, hazard; More |
What is Luck?
success or failure apparently brought by chance rather than through one's own actions.
"it was just luck that the first kick went in"
|
synonyms: |
good fortune, good luck, success, successfulness, prosperity, advantage, advantageousness, felicity; More |
The logic is lottery punters believe those numbers that they see based on the above scenario would bring them lucky.
They always believe that by betting those numbers would allow them to be lucky, the experience the windfall after betting those numbers sometimes.
Just take, for example, you saw an accident and you bet those car plate numbers (straight number) and you place your bet, it appears as one of the 23 winning numbers. After that, they mention they are lucky enough to strike the lottery.
On another example, you keep seeing the same car plate numbers more than 1 time and you place your bet, it appears as a system (or one of the permutation numbers) instead, you say your luck is not there.
Not only that they do not need to analyze lottery numbers and they based on such a scenario.
When the lottery punters win the lottery from such a scenario, they say they are lucky.
The linkage is about LUCK. Cos you do not know when lottery luck will be on here since luck cannot be proved in science. You are just tapping such opportunities into thinking you are lucky. Or you playing the lottery based on Luck or you expect the number to come out on what you bet.
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Introduction
Many of you at one time or even source for free 4d or Toto numbers online.
And you would be given a long list of numbers online.
Some of you would either pick some set from the list or place your bet.
Expectation
Sure Strike/Must strike Mindset
Does Sglottery provide Free Forecast?
|
Year |
Description |
|
2009 |
· Published Free Forecasts Openly to Members of Public best 5 set weekly |
|
2010 |
· Free Forecast Move the free forecast to Zoho Sheet |
|
· Stop Free Forecast |
|
|
2011 |
· Move to Facebook Group to engagement to its fans. · Introduce Freemium Services but it ended abruptly within 2 months as the Freemium members do not follow the rules and regulations. |
|
2012 |
· Move to this site and use of E-Coupon Complimentary Coupon – See here . |
How does this affect Sglottery?
Lottery Punters who had a facebook account tend to add Sglottery/4dsiao as friends and send a private message indicating the following
In 2011, some of them were turned away and indeed remove Sglottery/4dsiao as friends as their demand were turned away
Sglottery/4dsiao had to resort to posting to those who enquiries for services are allowed to contact him. He had even had to schedule the complimentary pass in 2011 on certain interval.
In 2012, ever since Sglottery had moved out of facebook groups and change to the redemption of e-coupon for complimentary pass.
See here as what is E-Coupon Complimentary Coupon – works here .
It had create an uproar for its supporters and I explain to the supporters what is the difference between Sglottery and other forecasters
What is the different between other forecasters and Sglottery?
|
|
Most of the Forecasters who provide free numbers |
Sglottery |
|
How many sets given? |
A list of numbers |
1 set of 4D |
|
Pros |
If you want free but regular forecast, u can google around for free 4D forecast website, those website would give u a list of you to choose. |
Do not need to buy too many sets. Just take the single set forecast and place your bet. |
|
Cons |
Available through the 4D/Toto cycle. Misleading Title to tell supporters that the numbers is potential Top 3 numbers but the overcome is different. |
You had to wait and take note of the schedule or when it is available. (If u miss it, I will not entertain if it is your responsibility to take note of the schedule) |
|
Conclusion |
Sure Strike but which is the winning numbers No risk |
Depending on the set pick by Sglottery that week Sglottery rather give out free forecast set that strike not give it blindly |
Conclusion
Expectation of Lottery Punters is never ending.
This why some forecasters that including Sglottery had decided to change to Paid services so that the expectation of the lottery punters could be met.
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